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Thursday, November 21, 2024

Illinois Speaker Welch admits ‘folks don’t trust us,’ yet calls for redo of progressive income tax hike

Their View

Illinoisans who thought new House Speaker Chris Welch might change the direction Illinois is headed in just got a dose of reality. 

Welch recently said he wants Illinois to have a second go at a progressive tax scheme, this time committing the tax hike proceeds to pensions. Illinoisans rejected Gov. Pritzker’s first attempt, he said, because they didn’t know where the tax hike dollars would go. “…folks don’t trust us,” Welch said.

Welch is right about the trust factor, but he’s wrong to think Illinoisans will suddenly approve a tax hike just because the legislature promises to funnel the new revenues to pensions. They know it’s unlikely politicians will keep their promise. And Illinoisans know the state’s unreformed pensions are a corrupted mess – that they’d be throwing good money after bad.

First, Illinoisans don’t trust their politicians. It’s why they rejected the progressive tax in the first place. And Welch’s promised ethics reforms – if they even happen – won’t be enough to repair the legislature’s reputation after decades of broken promises, mismanagement and outright corruption.

Second, there’s Welch’s promise to spend the money on government-worker pensions. If he thinks a promise to pour more money into retirements is a winning argument to Illinoisans, he’s badly mistaken.

It’s ironic that about the time Welch was making his comments, the size of Mike Madigan’s retirement benefit was being reported. The former speaker’s pension will start at $85,000 but will jump to $149,000 the following year due to a special provision for lawmakers over 55 years of age and with more than 20 years of service – a provision Madigan helped pass.

That small anecdote captures how Illinois pensions work. Illinois pols have for decades added one perk or benefit after another to pensions, slowly growing the already-generous retirements of state workers. Government workers scratch the backs of politicians, and politicians pad worker incomes.

Gov. Jim Thompson added compounding to Illinois’ already high 3 percent cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) in 1989. Gov. Jim Edgar sweetened Illinois’ pension formula even more in 1998, to create what he called “the most significant increase in pension benefits for state workers in a quarter century.”

And more recently, Gov. J.B. Pritzker brought back 6 percent end-of-career salary spiking for teachers just a few years after those spikes had been cut in half.

Add to that unused sick leave that can be used for as much as two years of service credit. Double-dipping that lets retired superintendents work part-time at other districts. Pension pick-ups where teachers contribute little to nothing toward their own retirement benefits. Retiree health insurance that comes free with 20 years of service. The list goes on.

Illinois government workers are now recipients of some of the nation’s most generous retirement benefits. (Read our full report on Illinois’ overgenerous benefits).

The full value of those benefits is captured in the average pensions of recently-retired career workers, those with 30-plus years (half of all retired teachers, for example, have more than 30 years of service).

Career teachers are retiring in their 50s with pensions just shy of $80,000. They’ll get automatic, 3% compounded COLAs and end up with an average of $2.6 million in lifetime pension benefits.

It’s similar for state university workers, who are also retiring in their 50s with starting pensions over $70,000.

State employees start with lower pensions, but that’s because the overwhelming majority participate in Social Security. Nevertheless, they, too, are retiring in their 50s with starting pensions nearing $55,000.

Those growing benefits have long been unaffordable for the ordinary Illinoisans who are forced to pay them. And as we’ve long pointed out, Illinois’ problem has always been one of overpromising, not underfunding.

Welch’s proposal suggests he doesn’t understand how much of an extreme outlier Illinois really is. No state has more pension debt, has a lower credit rating, or is losing more people than Illinois. Those realities require structural reforms, not more tax hikes.

The new boss is proposing the same failed ideas of the past 50 years. It's time for a change.

Wirepoints has created a comprehensive pension reform plan that's a real alternative. Visit our Pension Solutions page to learn more.

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